The Market Will Crash!
15 Sep 2014
All right, now I have your attention. You probably assume I mean the stock market, right? Remember what they say about assuming. Well, I have no clue when or if the stock market will crash, but just for fun let’s take a look at some facts.
The current Bull market is almost 5.5 years old (the average bull is 4.05 years) and the S&P 500 is at a new high, almost daily. The last two bulls peaked around a 100% gain (the current bull is over 190% up from 3-09 highs). The previous two corrections were losses of -57% and -49% for the S&P 500. Scary stuff for sure.
There is no way to predict the beginning and end of the next bear market. As I have said many times before, “I cannot predict what the market will do, but I can predict how the average investor will react!” In our opinion there are a few ways you can prepare yourself for when and if the next bear market arrives:
1. Rebalance your portfolio now.
2. Segment your money into responsibilities – we use the Premier Bucket System (Buckets #1, #2 & #3).
3. Have realistic expectations and a personal fair rate of return goal.
4. Know which phase you are in – Accumulation or Distribution.
5. Review now with your advisor to discuss any concerns.
6. Own many different asset classes that are non-correlated.
Even though these methods don’t guarantee anything, they should make your retirement journey a bit more smooth and give you added confidence when the going gets tough. History has shown that those who have a long-term perspective and are patient have been able to achieve fair returns over time.
Jeffrey A. Johnston, ChFC
Investment Advisor Representative
Securities offered through Registered Representatives of Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Cambridge and Premier Investments of Iowa, Inc. are not affiliated.